If a Forecast Bias Tracker shows a consistently positive number, what does that indicate?

Answer

Systemic underforecasting, meaning actual demand is consistently higher than forecasted demand.

A positive bias calculated as $\sum (\text{Actual Demand} - \text{Forecasted Demand}) / \sum \text{Forecasted Demand}$ indicates systemic underforecasting, meaning actual demand consistently exceeds the forecasted demand.

If a Forecast Bias Tracker shows a consistently positive number, what does that indicate?

#Videos

Mastering Demand Forecasting : The 8 Essential Steps - YouTube

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